Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000116 0.000129 0.000143 0.000158 0.000176 0.000195 0.000217
2025-11-16 0.000096 0.000113 0.000133 0.000156 0.000184 0.000216 0.000256
2025-11-23 0.000083 0.000102 0.000126 0.000155 0.000193 0.000238 0.000298
2025-11-30 0.000073 0.000094 0.000120 0.000156 0.000202 0.000261 0.000342
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000086 0.000114 0.000154 0.000209 0.000281 0.000384
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000081 0.000112 0.000156 0.000219 0.000305 0.000435
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000076 0.000108 0.000156 0.000227 0.000328 0.000484
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000071 0.000104 0.000155 0.000232 0.000346 0.000529
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000068 0.000102 0.000157 0.000242 0.000372 0.000588
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000065 0.000100 0.000157 0.000250 0.000395 0.000642
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000061 0.000097 0.000156 0.000255 0.000414 0.000693
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000156 0.000260 0.000433 0.000745
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000056 0.000092 0.000156 0.000267 0.000456 0.000807
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000089 0.000154 0.000270 0.000473 0.000862
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000153 0.000276 0.000496 0.000927
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000048 0.000085 0.000154 0.000283 0.000521 0.001001
2026-03-01 0.000025 0.000046 0.000082 0.000152 0.000287 0.000540 0.001065
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000044 0.000081 0.000154 0.000297 0.000571 0.001154
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000154 0.000304 0.000598 0.001238
2026-03-22 0.000021 0.000041 0.000078 0.000153 0.000308 0.000618 0.001310
2026-03-29 0.000020 0.000040 0.000077 0.000155 0.000318 0.000654 0.001419
2026-04-05 0.000019 0.000039 0.000076 0.000155 0.000326 0.000682 0.001514
2026-04-12 0.000018 0.000037 0.000074 0.000155 0.000330 0.000705 0.001599